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Monday, May 21, 2012

How Are the Mighty Fallen

by Anastasia (writer), London, January 31, 2012

Credit: Sunipix
Sunset?

It took Rome centuries to die as a world power. It has taken America two decades.

I admire China; I admire the present Chinese government. Oh, please don’t misunderstand me; I’m not saying that I admire communism; I don’t; I loath it, but it’s doubtful that the Chinese system has anything to do with communism in any meaningful ideological sense. No, as an idea it was effectively abandoned at the same time as the Soviet Union collapsed. Russia and China then took the high road to capitalism, chaotic for the former, controlled for the latter.

What I admire is the technique of realpolitik, the wholly Machiavellian outlook of the Chinese. This is likely to be their century not simply because of their economic power but because they play the game carefully, looking always to their own interests.

What a sense of humour Clio, the goddess of history, has, what an acute love of irony. There was America at the end of the Cold War, the only great power left in the world. There was Francis Fukuyama saying that history itself had come to an end, a humourless plagiarism of Sellar and Yeatman’s contention in 1066 and All That, published in the 1930s, that America was clearly Top Nation and history came to a .

But it didn’t, did it? America, the paramount power in 1991, has frittered it all away in one fruitless crusade after another, war after war, intervention hard upon intervention, the gift of the neo cons who have nothing at all to do with genuine conservatism or any kind of political realism. All they achieved was more and more spending with fewer and fewer results. Now the country has reached the lowest point in its history, the nadir, headed by the hopeless and incompetent Barack Obama, not a neo con just a con, a socialist in socialist clothing.

Now look at China, the communist capitalist super state. This is a country with the good sense to stand and stare, to consolidate its power, not waste it all away. This is the new empire, extending its influence over much of the developing world, particularly Africa, large parts of which are effectively a Chinese economic colony. I simply could not imagine the Chinese getting bogged down in a hopeless place like Afghanistan for a hopeless cause. I simply can’t imagine any country headed by an intelligent leader doing so, a leader with even the lightest grasp of history.

But America did, here, there and everywhere, taking the wolf by the ears, unable thereafter to let it go. Good sense and good politics would have kept America out of Iraq, a country which, no matter how repellent its dictator, kept a check on the regional ambitions of Iran. But good sense and good politics was not at a premium in the Bush Whitehouse; it has not been at a premium ever since. How are the mighty fallen in the midst of the battle.



About the Writer

Anastasia is a writer for BrooWaha. For more information, visit the writer's website.
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5 comments on How Are the Mighty Fallen

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By Uttam Gill on February 04, 2012 at 08:50 am

Anastasia so far so good about China, as it’s being observed, by many. I certainly have my observation, to share with you the dynamics of emergence and the dissemination of power. We cannot cherry pick the ideas or impression (meaning no offence), to define any country in absolute terms. However, it would be pertinent to note, that misplaced conception about China needs to be examined, in totality.

If Rome took centuries to die, then china took no time to insult the freedom and development of thousand years and that would bring doom for the communist government. The communist of China, defied, denied, and discredited the every sane logic of free existence. From 1949 onward, they have been indulging in expansionist activities. We don’t have to go far; Tibet is one, where they displayed their intentions so very clearly. And to me, the logic of expansion holds much bigger role in their grand plan.

Yes, I admire China too, but for the different reason...I admire them for the deceitful statecraft, by which they are concealing the sinister motives; they are very successful in doing so. Now the question arises, are we (the other countries) reading the intentions of the Communist Government of China? Let me say, we cannot separate China and its system from the communist ideology. Whatever the China doing, it is purely to service the ideology of communist control. It is plain and simple.

Now let me comment on your observation about, America’s over indulgence in so called crusade against many threats...and to you that is meaningless...I just wonder...No nation survives if it cannot contain the threat and they have done it (rather they are doing it).In nation building and preserving the values for which they believe in, they demonstrated courage to take devil by it’s horn. They have every right to protect their interest. And where the interests are, one has to bleed...One has to flex his muscle...

China is expanding...China is developing...China is indulging in economic colonizing (?)...China is progressing and that’s making everybody, to praise them. Yes, they deserve praise because unilaterally, they are defying the basic fundamentals and purpose of merging economies. They are reckless and relentless in pursuit of their goals. If they are relentless it is because they are building and strengthening the communist ideology of expansionism. As regard colonizing, you mark my word, their over indulgence in economic colonizing (Africa) would turn into a bête noire for them(and that’s where they are reckless)...When one establishes the colonies...it becomes assets...but in few decades it would turned into liability...They too, will feel threatened and that’s when, they will resort to military intervention.

Let me now give a different shade to my argument and that’s purely economic in nature and that’s where I would like to focus now and these are:

1. China’s domestic consumption is far behind as that of external consumption of their goods (I will not talk about services).The infrastructure, which they are creating and thriving on so far, is highly susceptible to any shift of preference from the external consumption. In other words, in the absence of required domestic consumption; if any perceptible decline in external consumption of Chinese goods takes place, then it will destabilize the economy, which would affect the Chinese economy to great extent and dent would be serious.

2. China’s currency is unilaterally cultivated as strong currency with perceptions which are fundamentally flawed.

Having said this, I believe that Communist Government of China have knowingly brought the “Trojan Horse” (dose of capitalism) into their system, thinking that, they have the ability and power (arrogance of belief) to take care of any reverses and I doubt very much, they cannot…In our living time, we would see something very spectacular and that would be the dismantling of communist government of China piece by piece.

Anastasia, thank you for stimulating my mind to comment on this…I may be outlandish; but with my loud thinking, I am drafting wishes of many who would like to see that GREAT PEOPLE OF CHINA flourish and prosper with freedom.

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By Uttam Gill on February 04, 2012 at 09:02 am

"To share with you the dynamics of emergence and the dissemination(oops) of power..." sorry for dessemination read "decimation"

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By Anastasia on February 05, 2012 at 05:17 pm

Uttam, thanks, but greatness and power have nothing at all to do with freedom and human rights. The Roman state survived for centuries as a slave power and rapacious conqueror. China has never enjoyed a full democratic existence in the sense that you and I would understand the concept. Even before the Communist takeover it was ruled, when it was ruled at all, by dictators, warlords and freebooters of one kind or another in the period after the revolution of 1911, which overthrew the last imperial dynasty.

I’m sorry, I complete disagree with you; the present government shows little in the way of communist orthodoxy; it shows not the least interest in exporting its brand of politics, unlike its economic imperialism. Mao would simply not recognise the China that has emerged after his death. The Chinese government is simply an oligarchy, interested in the perpetuation of its power, a power over which Marxism is draped like a fig leaf. Their brand of realpolitik owes far more to Machiavelli than Marx, more to The Prince than to The Communist Manifesto.

A nation survives by conserving its power, not wasting it. Yes, governments have a responsibility to ensure the security of the land. But America under George W Bush did not contain a threat; it simply made it worse. Where was the logic in invading Iraq, a country with a secular government, a country with no connection to terrorism, a country actively opposed to Al-Qaeda? Where was the logic in invading a country that had effectively been neutralised after the First Gulf War, and neutralised to the advantage of the West?

There are so many things I could say about this disaster, things I have said on my blog. Not only was the Al-Qaeda genie let out of the bottle, not only was the power of Iran immeasurably increased, but the aftermath of a war, which Bush described as a ‘crusade’, led to the tragic destruction of the age-old Iraqi Christian community, rather ironic in the circumstances. Has the invasion of Afghanistan made America safer? I rather think not. Anyone with even the lightest grasp of history would have kept clear of this ‘graveyard of empires.’

America has spent trillions beyond its means; America is now in hock to China, a further proof of my argument that one power has waned while the other has waxed. If the country has, as you put it, protected its interests it has gone about it in a wholly cack-handed fashion. Would you, as an Indian, someone surely with a better understanding of regional politics and history, ever have envisaged your country invading a hopeless place like Afghanistan, even with the co-operation of Pakistan? Was the British example not enough; was the Russian example not enough? The invasion of Afghanistan did not destroy the Taliban, merely submerged it for a time. The invasion of Afghanistan did not destroy Al-Qaeda, merely allowed it to relocate in the tribal highlands of Pakistan. Muscles were not flexed; muscles were lost.

Uttam, I am no wiser in these matters than any other. I cannot see into the future, only project on the basis of present trends. These trends allow me to predict that this will be the Chinese century, but on this question only time and history will sit as the final arbiters. Let me thank you, too, for this detailed and thoughtful response. I’m going to use my response to your response as the basis for a new article on Ana the Imp!

Oh, I've now added you to the writers I'm following you here. I'm not sure why I did not do this earlier, clearly an oversight on my part.

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By Uttam Gill on February 06, 2012 at 09:20 am

Thanks Anastasia, You hold very valid reasons; I respect that to large extent and agree too...But Life, history, events and many more things are not always about agreeing...it is about conflict too...From the conflicting views, we all wish to hold goodness for everyone...views may differ but intentions are good...The power of expression has its own corollary to initiate the debate of differing masses and for constructive outlook...To me such churning of thoughts are must...

Yes, feel so honored by your comments…Once again, thank you so much Anastasia

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By Anastasia on February 06, 2012 at 05:54 pm

Uttam, as promised, my response to you is now an article on Ana the Imp. Look for Time and History, the new headline post. :-)

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